Thought Experiments on B. Srinivasan’s Network State

First there was the currency (Bitcoin). Then came decentralized organizations (DAOs, think companies). Now here comes an even larger scale organization – the decentralized state.

You should probably read that link before continuing. Listen to Scriabin/Nemtin’s Preparation for the Final Mystery/Poeme de l’extase, it fits the article.

Thought Experiments

Since there are no countries in this new world, or if they do, they’re only partially relevant (like churches today), I won’t need a passport to travel to large areas of land. Instead, I will need a NFT in my Ethereum wallet to get into this building, or that event.

The network state which I belong to cannot provide me with clean water, fresh air, a sewage system, since it doesn’t control a large contiguous swath of land, only individual pockets of land that its members somehow ‘own’ (let’s not debate how that ownership is established/enforced just yet). Instead, it has partnerships with CleanAirDAO, CleanWaterDAO, which are global in scope and also service other network states.
What’s this called again, horizontal disaggregation?

Roads need to be built and maintained. The RoadBuidlersDAO exists in this contiguous swath of land, but there are competing road building DAOs as well, perhaps specializing in other territories. Most companies today are entities confined within their country by geography and by incorporation. In this new world though, these DAOs or companies operate much the same as before, except that they’re incorporated globally by default (since they’re just on the blockchain).

A smartphone/computer manufacturer rises up to rival Apple (let’s call it Zucchini). Its specialty is that its products are open and easily serviceable (we know, no one cares). It has operations all over the world, especially in (former?) China with some DAOs there, software development spread all over the world, and a tight knit, very local marketing/design team somewhere. Yes, it’s not very different from today’s Apple.
Zucchini owns many locations (perhaps it is a network state by itself), particularly in prominent shopping locations for Zucchini Stores, but isn’t interested in defending its territory from HUCCI (pronounced hoochie), which would like to open its own shop on that piece of land. The record of land ownership on a blockchain must be enforced by someone physical. Enter the PoliceDAO, or SecurityDAO, which function much like CleanWaterDAO. In practice, these DAOs will specialize in territories too, so they will look more like SouthwestCountyPoliceDAO.

DHLDAO really needs RoadBuidlersDAO to do a good job. So they start cooperating closely by buying up many RoadBuidlersDAO tokens a la Curve Wars. In fact, if it weren’t for DHLDAO, RoadBuidlersDAO wouldn’t have expanded to cover so much territory. Similar shenanigans exist with the shipping and air industry, which I won’t cover because I don’t understand as well.

So far this isn’t terribly convincing, so let’s go ahead and make some observations:

  1. Physical infrastructure is still needed, and it’s hard to see a network state provide that, so they will not disrupt, but instead be orthogonal to traditional nations.
    1. Sometimes one can just pack up and move; other times one must dig his heels in and fight. In these cases a nation is the better way to go because it has dispute resolution via the police/army.
  2. This means interests and ideals will determine which network state one joins. Ethereum can already be said to be a network state – does the EF not own offices in Berlin?

Preliminary Conclusions

If your interests/ideals/way of life is mobile, you might consider joining a network state for whatever reason.

Cosmopolitans and people in between cultures might find the concept interesting. Otherwise, if you identify strongly with a certain culture or social group which lives in an area, you might find this irrelevant.

Nation states for the physical world, network states for the virtual world.

Network states want to ensure physical quality of life for their members, but they cannot do that themselves if they do not control large contiguous swaths of land. Hence the rise of a global-scope CleanWater/Air/Beaches/Electricity DAOs, now humanity as a whole will keep the Earth clean, instead of countries.

iPhone vs Android – an honest guide that isn’t selling you something

My EDC includes an iPhone 6S, Xiaomi Redmi Note 9 Pro, and when I really want to take pictures, a Sony RX100 IV.

In a fit to optimize everything in my life, I tried to optimize this away into one device, but couldn’t – because the thought process that had landed me in this situation was very sound and still applies even today. Let me explain.

What my Android phones were like

My first smartphone was an LG Optimus One, then a HTC One S. Both companies are terrible at software updates – the One S had its last Android update only 6 months after it was released – and I had bought it at full price, new! I was so pissed I vowed never to buy HTC again. When they went under, I was glad.

Ahem. Instead of ranting about it, let me just summarize my experiences with each phone.

LG Optimus One: eye opening introduction to smartphones; SLOW; obviously bad rear camera; SLOW. The lack of software updates was not an issue because the phone was so SLOW.

HTC One S: software updates discontinued after only 6 months, but I kept it going for 4 years with custom ROMs. All custom ROMs, by the way, will always have an issue or two, because these are things you can’t write software tests for – you have to actually test it in the real world. Problems I remember: Bluetooth headphones changing pitch very slightly because the wifi antenna is retuning itself for a better reception (they use the same antenna after all), wifi not reconnecting when coming back into range (custom ROM issue), random reboots (custom ROM issue), no TRIM support on stock ROMs so you have to install a custom ROM if you don’t want your phone to slow down after a few months. On the plus side, the camera was everything I wanted and it was a sexy phone.

LG G5: tended to produce larger (3-6MB) photos even though pictures were blurred by the noise reduction algorithm. Then it got stolen.

Now I’ll dedicate a whole section to why iPhones are so amazing.

iOS: perfection

It took me a lot of fiddling with my HTC One S to understand myself – namely that even though I like fiddling with my computer, I don’t want to fiddle with my phone.

With the iPhone 5S, 6 and 6S, I got the whole package – a great camera; never felt slow; I actually used it and didn’t think about maintaining it.

camera such wow

Often times, you’re with somebody, they make a face or are in an interesting situation, and you want to take a picture. In the Android world you have to choose your phone carefully because all these could be bad:

Unlock the phone/swipe to camera shortcut: the camera app could start very slowly (500ms okay, 1s or more bad)

Camera takes a long time (1s or more) to focus.

Long delay after pressing the shutter button and the camera actually taking a picture (500ms or more)

Picture quality great in daylight (aren’t they all), terrible in certain conditions (still true today).

Apple may not be the absolute best in one dimension (focus speed, detail preservation, megapixel count, sensor etc) but it always strikes the best balance, consistently, since 2013. Android flagships often have great hardware but the software lets it down.

For instance, this picture was taken on a Redmi Note 9 Pro in the last minutes of an evening. The noise reduction algorithm in low light situations is too heavy handed and smudges the whole picture, especially the grass. Despite this loss in detail, the picture is a hefty 5MB.

Redmi Note 9 Pro, low light

Here’s another bad photo in a low light situation from the iPhone 6S. Notice how the carpet texture is preserved well – the Redmi would have reduced the carpet into a blurry mess. This photo is only 2MB.

iPhone 6S, low light

other little details that just work

Did you know that digital compasses need to be calibrated? I don’t know how they do it, but on iPhones, it was always pointing in the right direction. The Redmi Note 9 led me down the wrong road several times, the compass being up to 90 degrees off. I calibrate it, and within a few minutes it’s wrong again. It’s such a small detail that ends up being a huge annoyance when traveling.

Redmi Note 9 Pro’s wifi/Bluetooth antenna is not the best. For instance, when paired with a cheap Bose QC25 bluetooth adapter, it can lose signal when I put my phone on the opposite side of my body!

iOS: after the honeymoon

After several years on iOS, I decided to experiment with Android again with a cheap phone, the Redmi Note 9 Pro, and I realized just what I had sacrificed.

evil capitalism

Apple is a company who clearly does NOT have your best interests in mind. 256GB upgrade to 512GB ($10, 20 difference at most)? $100, and no microSD card slot, and no audio jack either, because ‘courage’. With the iPhone 12 and 13, Apple even has software locks preventing you from swapping the battery or other components, and is pretending to go along with Right to Repair, while of course making it difficult to actually use its repair program.

Apple has an attitude problem.

me

It’s the attitude that’s the problem, when the company forces you to do things its way because you have no choice. In real life, we call them bullies.

Nobody else has your interests in mind either, except for the free open source software community. Even Microsoft places ads in Windows these days. Linux is the one place on the PC where I am not funneled towards someone’s agenda, thank god I learned to use it when I was a teenager.

Instagram does not have your best interests at heart. The official app is optimized to make you scroll forever and waste huge amounts of time. Thankfully, there is an alternative app on Android called Barinsta, which displays the same content in a normal way that doesn’t encourage you to waste an entire afternoon and doesn’t have ads. Such an app would never be allowed on the App Store, nor the Play Store.

Youtube does not have your best interests at heart. Just like Instagram, it encourages you to waste time with its Related Videos; autoplay is on by default; ads, popups that you can click on in the video area. I am not an idiot, I know that the difference between streaming a video and letting a video be downloaded so it can be played later offline is 0 – so why are they making me pay for this functionality with Youtube Premium? Thankfully there is Newpipe and Youtube Vanced (and its forks).

I could go on forever, but to make it short, imagine what the computing world would look like if software were written just for our (consumers) own benefit, and not just so companies could make money from us. That’s the free open source software movement, and F-Droid is full of apps which

  1. don’t try to tack on a cloud/account/subscription model onto something which obviously doesn’t need one
  2. isn’t some freemium hook and bait deal
  3. can share files without relying only on cloud companies like Dropbox/OneDrive

Android as a smaller computer

I found myself using Android like a mini PC when I was too lazy to pull out my laptop.

Because it has a real filesystem, it’s easy to copy files (like movies or music) onto an Android phone and watch it on the plane. The iPhone would force me to use an app, which would force me to pay to download to watch/listen offline. Then I’d realize that I have no space left so I’ll have to give up on the idea.

iPhone vs Android – how to choose

Why would you buy an iPhone?

You go iPhone because you want things to just work – and you’ll make the necessary sacrifices to appease Apple so you can go about your daily life without having to think about your phone.

iPhone 12 costs $373 to produce, and sells for $800.

iPhone 12 Pro costs $406 to produce, and sells for $1000.

My iPhone 6S cost $200 in 2019, and I still got iOS 15 this year, so it’s definitely been worth it. At $1000, it’s probably still worth it, just because the software support is incredible – the 6S came out in 2015!

Still, I would never buy an iPhone new from Apple out of principle.

Why would you buy an Android?

You go Android because you want freedom and you don’t want to be shepherded into the behaviour patterns that big companies want you to do.

Expect little problems that would be a non-issue on iPhones, because nobody is as smart and detail oriented as Apple. Wait, what?

Think about it. Buying an Android flagship means you are paying $1000 for only 4 years of software updates (maximum, depends on vendor), and you’re losing the audio jack and microSD slot too! I might as well buy an iPhone already!

With dumbasses like these designing Android phones, and the fact that smartphone vendors don’t produce the processor nor Android, what do you expect?

Example: Xiaomi makes the Mi 12 Pro, which sells for $1100. I have the Redmi Note 9 Pro, which cost $180. The Gallery app has a problem: when I delete photos from the phone, the app still thinks the photos are there and there is no way to tell the app to refresh its database, short of reinstalling it!

In short, iPhones offer more than Androids at the $1000 price point. In the budget range, Androids are better value for money.

Removing the camera from the problem

I said before that no one is looking out for your interests. That includes smartphone review sites, who always make incredible claims about how much better photo quality is on this year’s crop of phones.

In daylight, quality is not a problem and hasn’t been since the iPhone 5S. The differentiator is low light performance. Smartphone cameras take multiple exposures in Night Mode to achieve better dynamic range. Noise reduction algorithm tuning is still an issue, because smaller sensors naturally do worse in the dark.

Huawei P40 Pro sample from DXOMark. Notice texture loss on jacket.
Just to show how her jacket should look

Below is a photo from the RX100 in a similarly dark, if not darker, situation. Imagine if the same amount of noise reduction/blurring from the P40 Pro were applied to this photo – would you still be able to read the GANT label on his jacket? How would his scarf’s texture look like then?

Not great photos I know, just making a point here

Let’s just cut the bullshit out and say: no smartphone camera is going to beat a bigger sensor, especially if things are moving at night. The devil is in the details, and what I’m realizing more these days is that the details are often left out by people with a vested interest.

The solution is obviously to always bring a dedicated compact camera with you. Except that of course, I rarely do, because the RX100 IV is still bulky, and it takes time to turn on.

Also you must consider the question: why do you take photos? It’s satisfying to take a good picture, but showing it to others gives me more happiness, even if it isn’t perfectly composed. It’s complicated with an external camera. You can’t share instantly, you have to copy it over first. It’s a different pace, slower, more deliberate.

I call this one ‘Hippie Love Story’

Thanks to the way the world works, I’ll never get a mixture of an iPhone, Android, and a good camera.

It’s just easier to find a way to carry all 3 at once – I’ll figure it out one day…

finding peace in repair

Some time ago, in addition to being the trivia king of Fujitsu Primergy servers, I was also a master at finding used Macs for cheap on eBay. Nobody wants a Core 2 era Mac anymore, so naturally I bought a 2007 iMac 7,1 for 100EUR.

Now I have 8 Macs that I never use.

It was 100EUR because it would turn off randomly (power supply problem). Other than that it was perfect.

Life is so fast paced, nobody has time to repair broken things. I called a Mac repair store, even they didn’t have the time to repair it – too expensive to troubleshoot and take apart, they say, better to just buy another power supply. But they did leave me with a good tip – capacitors are the only thing that age and break down in a power supply.

It took me a year to finally get around to calling that repair store. I was constantly chasing the next nugget of knowledge, the next new hobby, the next acquisition. I have 14 jackets by the way, I just counted. I wanted to experience this, experience that.

When I bought that iMac, I was also chasing the next experience. But deep down, I was just chasing what I really enjoyed about computers when I was young – immersing myself in a project with no expectations whatsoever.

Pay attention to your self-talk (this goes for everything). “I’ve got to get it fixed by x date”, or “I’ve got to do this as quickly and efficiently as possible” sucks the fun out of it. Or “just gotta finish it quickly so I can move on to the next project” just misses the whole point of taking on such projects in the first place.

When I was ‘busy’ and ‘had to get all this done’, I didn’t get that much done and I was stressed and somewhat guilty at the end of the day.

When I told myself ‘you don’t have to do anything’, paradoxically I got so much done – because by not putting pressure on myself, I was able to reach flow.

And so it happens that after putting this off for a year, I suddenly have the time and energy to use an ESR meter on every capacitor in the power supply. Here’s the data, just to show the condition of the capacitors after 15 years:

C210 0.05O
C209 0.01O
C205 0.09O
C206 0.08O
C207 0.04O
C214 0.17O
C215 0.04O
C051 0.26O
C052 0.25O
C30? 0.19O 22uF 50V (obscured by goop)
C??? 0.70O 10uF 50V
C343 0.75O 10uF 50V
C204 0.03O
C406 47.0O! 10uF 100V 11mm -> replace with 10uF 160V 12.5mm tall Panasonic
C407 0.69O (out of circuit) 0.97O 22uF 50V
C213 0.06O
C212 0.07O
C211 0.10O
C004 0.26O
C057 0.20O
a 22uF capacitor can be considered ‘good’ until it hits an ESR of 1.8 Ohm

C406 and C407 were two small capacitors that lived under a large heatsink. C406 was totally gone, even though it wasn’t bulging. C407 had a in-circuit ESR of 0.97 Ohm. Compare this to C30?, which has the same capacitance, but is far away from the heatsink so it’s healthier at 0.19 Ohm. Although C407 is still “good”, it clearly has aged more.

C406: no capacitor should have an ESR that high

Buying the ESR meter, desoldering pump, desoldering the TO220 component and the heatsink to get to the capacitors, finding an electronic parts shop willing to sell me only 1 of each capacitor… imagine if I had approached all of this with the mindset of “I need to get this done”.

I can’t wait for the capacitors to arrive.

How to talk with a girl you really like, Part 2

Since I wrote the last post my understanding has changed. My last post was close to, but not quite, hitting the mark.

The turning point was when I read Emily Ratajkowski’s “My Body”. In case you don’t know who she is, she’s a Victoria’s Secret model. I don’t consider her to be particularly mature yet, and there is a lot of anger in her book, which I correctly surmised came from her living in America (there, people are always outraged/offended about something). But after reading it, it became as clear as day:

Beauty is a front.

Imagine you’re a happy little girl. Life is good, you’re not thinking about sex or boys or anything.

the pressures of sexuality turn one from this…

Suddenly, at school, beauty starts to become important. In fact, people start to treat you worse and treat others better – and it seems that it’s all predicated on being hot.

(this happens for guys too, except that it’s about being cool. not that the girls notice that they’re doing the same thing – they can only see the guys who are cool)

Everybody is now rated on beauty, and it’s the one dimension you’re ushered into. You can’t escape. Even into your twenties and beyond until you’re a grandma, everyone keeps harping about how hot you are or how hot someone else is.

… into this.

Understandably some rebel, “why is it all about looks”, they say. Some opt out entirely, becoming the girl that no one notices, even if genetically they have what it takes to compete. Of course looks are important. But overemphasis on looks can create a subconscious rejection that, if one is not aware of their subconscious, can last a lifetime and stunt one’s potential.

This is for the girl who didn’t win the beauty contest. What if you won? You might end up angry and… I don’t know what’s the word for it but I’ll go with superficial for now… like Emily Ratajkowski.

Guys can’t escape the coolness ladder in high school/university – but in real life, it is skills, success, intelligence that you are judged on. Success can be interpreted in many different ways, and is entirely under your control (unlike beauty, which is up to your parents), so there is more freedom in that dimension.

Now you know a beautiful girl is just another girl, just with her own set of problems. But let’s not stop there.

Luxury is a front.

Fashion is actually not glamorous at all, as Rosen’s Gracia Ventus (love her white Volta M65) writes.

Luxury brands aren’t actually rich and prestigious – once you subtract marketing costs, their profitability is only average, according to Jean Noel Kapferer’s New Strategic Brand Management.

A lot of work goes into making a front. On the small scale, you see girls trying to find the perfect angle in the selfie. On the larger scale, observe the efforts expended to convince you that a perfume you made is worth more than 20 Euros, because it’s prestigious/you’re going to be sexier/exclusive/you deserve to pamper yourself every once in a while with only the best. No, it’s worth 200! The price tags are the real achievement, not the product itself.

But we can take it a step further.

Your perception is a front.

I remember once when talking to a girl I liked, she said “but you don’t really know me, you just like your perception of me”.

I replied: “but that’s exactly why I’m here – I’m curious and want to know more about you.” Back then her objection felt silly and easily resolved with common sense – today it feels more understandable.

Anyway, women put up the front to attract – but they don’t want men who are bedazzled by the front! In a way, it is an intelligence/character filter.

(this is a human thing, not a man/woman thing – if you spent energy to put up a front to attract attention, you’d also hope that people would be interested in the person behind the front)

Master the front to not be blinded by it

Everything in my previous post simply comes naturally from this realization and applies to all other areas of life, which is why this is the true answer.

How to talk with a girl you really like

I spent YEARS overcoming this, but you know how it is when you learn something – it becomes part of you, and you start to think “of course it’s like this!” You forget all that hard work and mindset shifting you did.

Before this becomes common sense to me, I’d better write it down so that others won’t have to ruin their lives any further.

I was always afraid of talking to the girls whom I found really beautiful. Cute enough? yes, I could behave myself. But stunningly cute or hot?

we’re talking this level of hotness here

In middle/high school I wouldn’t even admit to myself that I wanted to look at them. In university, there was one girl I liked a lot, called Anne. I immediately started flirting with a girl sitting next to me that I wasn’t interested in the least. Everyone thought I liked her instead and started teasing me, that’s how good I was at fooling myself.

One day, after I was talking with another Chinese girl (I’m usually not interested in Chinese girls, especially this one), a friend asked me if I liked her. I said no, why? He said “because that’s how you talk when you’re flirting with someone”. And he was right. I knew that already, but somehow she was the only girl I could talk like that with (and somehow we both knew that I wasn’t really interested anyway).

How could I unfuck myself?!

In fact, first I would have to learn how to talk to strangers; how to talk to women I wasn’t attracted to; how to ask women out; how to ask women that I was attracted to out; and then I could start talking to women I was VERY attracted to. Oh, and asking them out too.

Dude, you say: what about “actually getting with the girl I was really attracted to”?
Well, no. Firstly, whether such a girl is available or likes me is out of my control. Secondly, such girls are rare, and it’s rare enough that a normal girl likes me anyway! Thirdly: I really don’t need another reason to be needy.

It was easy to live with my defect in the clubs. The hot girls were so popular that you couldn’t get a word in anyway. I looked instead at the demure girl in the corner who actually would’ve been the belle du jour if she had taken the effort to dress up more. At the bus stop – I forced myself to talk to them, and resented them because they could just brush me away like a fly – apparently men all “have the freedom to go for what they want”, and what they want is sex, so they have to be on guard.

Well, not always. If someone just started talking to you somewhere, wouldn’t you be a bit wary until you knew what the deal was? I got into the habit of telling them that they were attractive right from the very beginning.

Always ask yourself: why? all the way down
Let’s try one situation.
Why am I not going to acknowledge/look at that girl who’s so cute?
Because I’ve gotten rejected/ignored enough from girls like that in the past, now’s my time to reject/ignore them.
Why?
Because my ego wants to feel good.
Why?
OK, I admit it, my ego is stupid. I’ll just say hi, at least.

Let’s try another situation.
Why am I not going to talk to that girl who’s so cute?
Because I have absolutely no idea what to say!
Why?
Because “hi” can’t be good enough!
Why?
Because I’m sure so many other guys have approached her already!
And you’re not better than them?
Well…
There are 4 possibilities, and here are 2 of them:
a. You don’t feel like you’re good enough, and you’re actually not good enough.
b. You don’t feel like you’re good enough, but you’re actually good enough (this is the hardest part. Soldier on, find success to build up your confidence)

When I started dancing, it was the same story all over again, even though now I actually had something to offer (a dance) instead of an awkward conversation leading nowhere. Still, I was afraid to ask the “good” girls out to dance, and anyway everybody wanted to dance with them so they were hard to get hold of. I also had my hands full figuring out what a “good dance” was.

Relationships (even short term ones) start because you have something of value to offer each other.

At the same time, you have no idea what people could want. She could want someone to call her a whore and slap her in the face. no really.

After some time I noticed that women have the same issue… they sometimes get afraid of dancing with this particular guy. They’re nervous they won’t be able to dance as well as they normally could. Or something.

Then one day, that started happening to me. The beginners would be hesitant and shy. Sometimes, when making a mistake with women whom I thought were better at dancing than me, they’d quickly apologize, make an excuse. Ah, they were a bit tired after work, were hungry, hadn’t danced for a while, whatever. They knew how to dance, so why were they making excuses for little mistakes that always happen anyway?

Sometimes, at dance parties where people know each other socially, women who knew me always wanted to dance with me so I could never get off the dance floor. Wait a minute, this situation sounds familiar – aren’t those hot women always hard to get ahold of because they’re always being asked to dance?

But nothing about me had actually changed! It was just their perception. I had just been improving myself linearly.

IT WAS JUST THEIR PERCEPTION.

I’m cool? I dance really well? …some people actually consider me cute? is it just because I’m 30-something these days?

Imagine, a girl probably goes through all this when she hits puberty. Just because she suddenly grew some breasts or maybe a butt, guys look at her differently and want to ask her out. It’s not like she became a better person. Maybe that’s why women aren’t completely bowled over by good looks like most men are. They know firsthand that it’s all a matter of perception.

Be conscious of why you think she’s perfect. See through that perfection to the imperfection. Every face has a “bad” angle.

guess who this is. Looks cute but eh, right?

Become the person you fear
If you’re afraid of talking to fit, well dressed women who always seem like they’ve got better things to do than talk to you – be a fit, well dressed man who is so busy when he goes out of his way to talk to a woman, it’s because he thought “ugh, I really should focus on this other thing but hey she’s cute, let’s give this one a chance”.

“Well-dressed” from whose point of view? Yours. After all, her being well dressed is also your perception.

Once you become the person others fear talking to, you realize there’s nothing special about anyone.

Today I have more female friends than male friends from dancing. For the most part, they don’t understand this struggle, nor do they really care. Tell your girlfriend about how difficult it is to ask out women whose beauty scares you, and most likely they will make it about their egos “so you find other women more beautiful than me?”

For them, getting the attractive partner is not the problem. Keeping the attractive partner is the problem.

Get used talking to, and making friends with attractive girls, keeping in mind that one attractive girl is another man’s “10”

A male friend once told me that one of my female dance friends was so beautiful that he didn’t dare say much when she was around. I thought for a while. Yes, she was very feminine for a German woman, and was cute too. But I don’t think of her as a 10 (let’s think of scary girls as a 10), more like a solid 8. Remember, you’re already friends with 10s. They’re just not 10s to you. Neither are the 10s you’re afraid of really 10s.

Her name is Brooke Shields. Hopefully you’re not scared of her anymore.

If you still wanna read about this stuff instead of actually going out and taking action, here’s what the Good Looking Loser has to say on the topic.

The New Economy of Trust Networks – an overview

Explanation

Think of your friends and how you have tit for tat with one another. There is an unspoken agreement to keep track of such favours implicitly, and if you have a friend who really keeps track of every cent he spent when doing favours for another, you’d all think he was a miser and keep your distance in some fashion.

Meanwhile, to exchange favours with the rest of the world, you use an abstraction of value called money. Over there, business is strictly business.

Now imagine if the tit for tat network could be expanded to not just include your close friends, but people who know about and presumably like you. Like your fans, or merely acquaintances who think you’re cool because they don’t yet know you eat boogers in the bathroom. Tit for tats could also be exchanged through a mutual acquaintance, enabling the exchange of favours with a total stranger.

Of course you’d need to keep track of all this explicitly, with currencies.

Could such a network reduce the importance of money in our lives/make transactions more personal, and abolish the desperate need to get rich at all costs?

the projects I know of in this space

Roll lets you create ERC20 personal tokens.

MeTokens seems to be the same thing, but adds a bonding curve, making your tokens more expensive as demand for them increases.

Trustlines an IOU exchanging network just like Lightning (Bitcoin), but mostly for fiat currencies and the integrated “Beer” currency.

Circles UBI an IOU exchanging network, except that these are personal tokens, which are replenished daily (it is a UBI).

Predictions

Although this won’t replace money altogether, this form of explicit tit for tat could become a way of socially signaling you are closer together. Great way for famous people to make you pay more to feel more included, artists to rally their highest paying patrons etc.

Hippies will love this, and it’ll become even easier for them to live without money now. They might even think of this as money and start a movement to abolish this…

Value perception remains as important as ever. For your personal tokens to have value, you must make people see the value in you. This is not easy. And you must back up your tokens when called upon.

Recovering From COVID19

On the first week of March, I got the coronavirus. This is my experience at accelerating my recovery from it. The government was of no help, as usual.

It was just a cold


After going to Paris for EthCC, I got a cold. It was manageable at first, until the day I had to fly back to Berlin, because I thought hey, my flight is so early in the morning, might as well save money by sleeping over at the airport instead of a hostel!


Except that I didn’t even get to the airport in time to sleep, because I was having too much fun dancing zouk. In the end it was 4am, I couldn’t sleep on the bus because I was cold and afraid I might miss the stop at the airport, and when I had finally walked to the boarding gate, there wasn’t enough time to get proper sleep anyway.


There the cold really stopped being a sniffle and I had to blow my nose every now and then.

An aside about the Paris airport: incredibly, you will see homeless people sleeping in the airport. I don’t blame them, but when they piss on a wall indoors, when they could have just walked to a restroom, they really should be kicked out. I have no idea who said Paris was the city of romance.

Once I returned to Berlin, I slept with a hot water bottle. My cold improved immediately, and my mucus became green. So much for the cold.

But a day later, while walking back home, I felt the beginnings of a fever.

Continue reading Recovering From COVID19

Lifesim and Girlsim, answering the big questions of life

A few days ago I discovered cadCAD while researching token engineering, and in a fit of sudden creativity, I coded up two simulations to life’s questions that had been subtly bothering me.

I know I’ll get a lot of flak from people about the dating simulator, even from dating coaches I took advice from, where making a simulation is “thinking too much” to them. But being able to put hard numbers on my expectations is the biggest thing I never knew I was missing.

What is it?

It’s a framework to make testing simulations of complex systems easier.

Or more specifically: you write your actors and strategies and environmental conditions. cadCAD turns this into a pandas.DataFrame and runs the simulation a number of times for you, letting you switch easily between simulation strategies.

Lifesim

Lifesim 2 – a job search situation simulator


Your bank account balance over 3 years, assuming you keep living expenses at 1800EUR and you look for 3 jobs per month between jobs

Suppose the following:
* You’re looking for a job.
* Your monthly expenses are 1800EUR.
* You have a 20% chance of getting a job once you’ve applied for it (IRL this means personal contact, not sending your resume somewhere)
* Most jobs pay around 3000EUR +- 2000EUR.
* Each month, a job has a 10% chance of firing you.
* You can afford to make 2-3 personal connections per month that lead to jobs.
* Your minimum criteria: job must pay at least your monthly living expenses.

What will your bank account look like in 3 years?

To play with the numbers, set up Jupyter notebook and the Python virtual environment with requirements.txt.

Takeaways

To guarantee that your balance will be positive in 3 years, you must look for jobs which pay 2 * monthly living expenses, and you must meet 2-3 people who can provide such jobs per month.

Girlsim

Suppose you’re a 5. How many girls should you ask out per day, and how choosy can you be, to have a satisfactory dating life?

Girlsim – how choosy can you afford to be?

No, there won't be a picture of a hot girl here
If you’re an ‘8’ who only dates ‘7s and up’, here’s your dating history over 30 lifetimes, assuming you’ve asked out 1000 girls (each colour is a different lifetime)

Critical assumptions

  • By definition, most girls are 5 in hotness. Sorry if I burst any princess bubbles.
  • Women of hotness x prefer hotness x+1 (some prefer less actually, but that’s another discussion).
  • Even if you move to a city where you find most girls hot, after a few months you will grow accustomed.
  • You meet an 8 just about as frequently as other people meet their 8s. That is, it doesn’t matter what an 8 actually looks like.
  • Chemistry is modeled by secret Chemistry numbers. If they match up (around 5-10% chance, or 1-2/20), you have chemistry.

Defining Success

Personally, “the feeling of sexual abundance” is important, i.e. you’re not desperate to cling on to her because she’s the only girl who’ll like you back in a long long time.

There are 2 ways of defining this. Pick one.

  1. 1000 girls is 1 year of asking out 3 girls a day. At least 1 girl a month is a reasonable expectation.

  2. The hotness distribution of girls who accepted you must look like a normal distribution, not discrete.

Takeaways

  1. Don’t be choosy. If you’re a 5 who only dates 7s, you’ll spend most of your time being desperate/insecure in a relationship, or lonely.
  2. Even if you do end up becoming a ‘9’ through hard work and upgrading your wardrobe, you’ll still mostly date 5s and 6s. Why? simple, there are more of them around.
  3. Improving your looks really makes a big difference, but it is no guarantee that you will end up with a hot girl. But it’s okay. There are many dimensions to women other than ‘hotness’.

Life Lessons from Dancing

There’s a big gulf between knowing and doing.
I spent a lot of time thinking of how to think so that I could generate moves. That helped to a certain extent, but I just kept thinking fruitlessly instead of just going out there and making mistakes.

Mistakes are great improvisation opportunities – and they make it more fun to dance with beginners (as long as they follow the basics). You can always alter the tension in the embrace/grip, and this changes the character of the dance and makes new things possible.

It’s not good enough to be good.
You need to be socially connected.
Going to a milonga, salsa party or any kind of partner dance social? The good dancers are usually too busy talking and dancing with other people for you to muscle into the situation in a smooth way.

Same with dating and (probably) making money too. Cold approach is not something you should use all the time, but an additional skill in your pocket that you pull out when the time is right (or if you have no other choice).

What do women want? Probably not what you think they want.
It’s easy to think that women want to see your fancy moves, your cars, your riches. No doubt this catches attention – but catching someone’s attention is just getting your foot in the door.

Many women also mistake attention for attraction, the classic example? Women who wear stockings in winter. Have they got our attention? Yes. Are we attracted? Maybe… but she’s obviously got issues. Similarly, if a leader looks great when dancing, but actually isn’t fun to dance with, or leads moves roughly for the follower, she won’t speak well of him afterwards.

Think of your fancy moves, clothing, watches, cars as the candy wrapper. In the end, the chocolate still needs to taste at least as good as the others, if not better.

What’s the chocolate in dance? It’s the feeling of understanding someone at a level where no words are needed. See Cory Henry and Yoran Vroom at 3:53. Telepathic understanding. Emotional sync.

Maybe that’s why women use so many words and emojis with each other, and obsess over how every part of their behaviour comes across. It’s all about establishing emotional harmony (this implies fitting in).

Appearance and reality, just like attention and attraction, are quite disconnected.
Germany is a strange country – a restaurant’s decor correlates directly with its food quality, whereas in Asia, you purposely go to shabby looking stalls by the side of the road to get great chicken rice that’s just as good as fancy restaurants.

For Germans, eating out is a social occasion, and the food is just one part of it. The atmosphere of course contributes to the occasion, and any restaurateur who neglects that is probably similarly sloppy in other aspects.

This is a classic correlation != causation example that only happened because of a particular mindset towards eating.

Apparently, I appear confident and know what I’m doing.
Or rather, women get insecure about their own abilities too and you have to constantly reassure them that yes, I did intend to lead that move.

I heard some women are like that with their looks.

Again, appearance and reality are two very different things. Sometimes they are connected. Beware this mental shortcut.

As you decide for a particular style, you will alienate people.
Dress normal and everybody will think nothing of you.
Dress preppy and some people will think you’re posing.
Dress goth and most people will think you’re “weird”.
Dress outdoorsy and you won’t stand out to the preppy people.

Don’t Think Too Much

There was a time when I never consciously thought about what I was doing. I made no progress and that wasn’t good.

Then I started thinking. I saw results, I made progress and that was good.

So I started thinking even more, because I wanted to succeed faster. I built thought frameworks (general rules to guide my thinking) as I learned about new fields. It took me a long time to realize that my rate of progress hadn’t changed at all, and I was burning more energy for nothing.

Why do I say that?

There were others who hadn’t built a clear framework of how to think. But it didn’t matter. Because of their social position, because they took action, they got the hot girl or were rich. Thinking the right way can lead you to success, but is only one component.

“A change in perspective is worth 80 IQ points” – Alan Kay

What’s the easiest way to get another perspective? Ask someone else. Sure, it is possible to imagine another perspective, but asking is just easier, plus you get to strengthen a social connection.

Sometimes, you don’t know what you don’t know – and this can overturn your thought framework overnight. Exploration is the answer here, and this can be time consuming.

Lastly, after having built many thought frameworks, I noticed most of them resulted in sound common sense. I didn’t have to spend so much energy building them in the first place!
Caveat: some bad life advice masquerades as common sense. It can really help to think through “common sense” advice to see if it really is “common sense” or some misguided line that an unfortunate, misinformed, unfortunately loud individual is spewing on social media.

The value of thinking

Thinking is simply bringing your subconscious thoughts up into the consciousness, where we can think about it faster using reason instead of emotion, overcome biases installed by society, overcome bad habits and misleading values in our subconscious, gain a clear vision of where we want to go etc. Words are the handles by which we grab and manipulate our thoughts from the sea of our subconscious. Word choice is very, very important.

But the consciousness is simply a tool, and one shouldn’t depend on one tool exclusively.

When I think too much

I go through life in a daze, not noticing the beauty in my surroundings, forgetting upcoming chores/appointments which are important but not urgent, and as a result I have to construct routines to get my life back on track, which makes me rigid and (ugh) German.

To improve one’s skills, there is no limit to the conscious complexity one can construct. But actually the most fun way is to improvise, boosting efficiency with honest communication and a very short iteration cycle.

When is a good time to think

When learning a new topic, a framework to guide your thoughts, a chosen set of values to strive towards from the very beginning, will help you achieve your goal quickly. (source: dancing experience)

When you have a gut feeling, but you just can’t put it into words. Not bringing it up to your subconscious could waste months, years of your time. Open a blank document and just start typing whatever comes to your mind, dumping your stream of consciousness into words (very effective, source: The Ultimate Commonplace System).

When building new processes to streamline your life. Within moderation: do not make a whole new routine and force yourself to commit to that. Instead, see what trhythm you naturally fall into and make slight tweaks to that. This is a good balance between enjoying life and improvement. Discipline is a finite resource after all.

Turn your brain off

I used to meditate to turn my brain off. Now I’ve rediscovered a better way from my childhood: video games, anime, tinkering with long lost hobbies. Wall Street Playboys would deride it as a waste of time, but one must waste a bit of anything once in a while.

The trick is to stop playing once you aren’t thinking about the original subject anymore, but your brain isn’t yet totally hooked on the game either. Video games can make your brain noisy and distracted too.

Am I thinking too much?

If you’re asking this question, you most certainly are. Remember a time when you weren’t under pressure to deliver, like your childhood. Then, in this quiet space that you’ve finally allowed yourself, listen to your gut.

You already know what to do.